Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.025724 0.027850 0.029978 0.032267 0.034655 0.037068 0.039690
2025-08-03 0.022094 0.025442 0.028911 0.032756 0.036885 0.041170 0.045937
2025-08-10 0.019536 0.023544 0.027799 0.032618 0.037892 0.043459 0.049749
2025-08-17 0.017443 0.021909 0.026754 0.032344 0.038562 0.045217 0.052830
2025-08-24 0.015858 0.020687 0.026028 0.032291 0.039355 0.047004 0.055846
2025-08-31 0.014398 0.019490 0.025230 0.032063 0.039869 0.048412 0.058376
2025-09-07 0.013206 0.018519 0.024616 0.031975 0.040480 0.049876 0.060924
2025-09-14 0.011930 0.017366 0.023719 0.031499 0.040594 0.050735 0.062751
2025-09-21 0.010799 0.016319 0.022890 0.031048 0.040690 0.051535 0.064478
2025-09-28 0.009544 0.015044 0.021726 0.030145 0.040212 0.051638 0.065377
2025-10-05 0.009180 0.014881 0.021898 0.030825 0.041578 0.053852 0.068677
2025-10-12 0.008659 0.014481 0.021753 0.031101 0.042448 0.055479 0.071295
2025-10-19 0.007921 0.013794 0.021268 0.031000 0.042930 0.056730 0.073578
2025-10-26 0.007514 0.013541 0.021332 0.031584 0.044250 0.058989 0.077066
2025-11-02 0.006844 0.012879 0.020833 0.031436 0.044659 0.060151 0.079258
2025-11-09 0.006186 0.012189 0.020263 0.031170 0.044900 0.061098 0.081183
2025-11-16 0.005663 0.011660 0.019879 0.031118 0.045386 0.062324 0.083426
2025-11-23 0.005122 0.011066 0.019380 0.030894 0.045642 0.063259 0.085314
2025-11-30 0.004671 0.010578 0.019002 0.030809 0.046054 0.064372 0.087404
2025-12-07 0.004137 0.009916 0.018354 0.030343 0.045969 0.064867 0.088746
2025-12-14 0.003655 0.009301 0.017742 0.029902 0.045896 0.065362 0.090076
2025-12-21 0.003095 0.008499 0.016824 0.029018 0.045233 0.065114 0.090495
2025-12-28 0.002987 0.008479 0.017046 0.029684 0.046562 0.067321 0.093880